Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 0.000624 0.000708 0.000796 0.000897 0.001008 0.001126 0.001260
2026-01-11 0.000488 0.000604 0.000734 0.000891 0.001075 0.001281 0.001530
2026-01-18 0.000409 0.000538 0.000689 0.000880 0.001111 0.001380 0.001715
2026-01-25 0.000360 0.000498 0.000667 0.000888 0.001165 0.001497 0.001920
2026-02-01 0.000318 0.000462 0.000645 0.000891 0.001207 0.001596 0.002104
2026-02-08 0.000272 0.000415 0.000602 0.000862 0.001206 0.001639 0.002217
2026-02-15 0.000236 0.000376 0.000567 0.000840 0.001209 0.001684 0.002329
2026-02-22 0.000211 0.000351 0.000548 0.000835 0.001234 0.001755 0.002477
2026-03-01 0.000191 0.000331 0.000533 0.000835 0.001262 0.001832 0.002632
2026-03-08 0.000171 0.000308 0.000512 0.000825 0.001276 0.001888 0.002761
2026-03-15 0.000152 0.000286 0.000491 0.000812 0.001284 0.001935 0.002877
2026-03-22 0.000145 0.000281 0.000494 0.000834 0.001343 0.002053 0.003091
2026-03-29 0.000135 0.000271 0.000490 0.000847 0.001389 0.002155 0.003288
2026-04-05 0.000122 0.000255 0.000474 0.000840 0.001405 0.002215 0.003427
2026-04-12 0.000110 0.000239 0.000457 0.000829 0.001414 0.002265 0.003552
2026-04-19 0.000102 0.000230 0.000452 0.000837 0.001451 0.002355 0.003737
2026-04-26 0.000094 0.000220 0.000444 0.000839 0.001480 0.002433 0.003905
2026-05-03 0.000082 0.000201 0.000419 0.000812 0.001461 0.002440 0.003969
2026-05-10 0.000073 0.000186 0.000398 0.000791 0.001449 0.002455 0.004045
2026-05-17 0.000066 0.000176 0.000388 0.000786 0.001464 0.002513 0.004184
2026-05-24 0.000061 0.000168 0.000381 0.000786 0.001485 0.002579 0.004338
2026-05-31 0.000055 0.000158 0.000368 0.000776 0.001491 0.002622 0.004457
2026-06-07 0.000050 0.000148 0.000355 0.000764 0.001492 0.002655 0.004560